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“BEST PICTURE” PREDICTION

It is time: On Sunday the 26th of February, the Academy Awards® or Oscars® are being awarded for the 89th time. At CupoNation we have looked far and wide, researched above and below and have arrived at our own evidence for our pick for who will win the "Best Motion Picture" category this time.

The study is based on the previous 88 winners for "Best Picture" and takes into account 5 criteria.

THE OSCAR® WILL GO TO A
PRODUCTION WITH AN AVERAGE BUDGET OF 46M$
We are considering the 3 movies closer to the average. The average production budget takes into account the most expensive and the cheapest production so far.
  • THE OSCAR® WILL GO TO A
    DRAMA GENRE
    • la la land (+ Romance)
    • Lion
    • Moonlight
    • Hell or High Water
    • Hidden Figures
    • Fences
    • Manchester by the Sea
    • Hacksaw Ridge
    • Arrival
The "Best Picture" winners are categorised into multiple genres, according to IMDB. For instance, "La La Land" belongs to both drama and romance genre.
  • THE OSCAR® WILL GO TO A
    LEAD MALE CHARACTER
    • Arrival
    • Lion
    • Moonlight
    • Hell or High Water
    • Fences
    • Manchester by the Sea
    • Hacksaw Ridge
    • la la land
    • Hidden Figures
  • THE OSCAR® WILL GO TO A
    3 WORDS TITLE
    • la la land
    • Arrival
    • Lion
    • Moonlight
    • Hell or High Water
    • Hidden Figures
    • Fences
    • Manchester by the Sea
    • Hacksaw Ridge
There was only one "Best Picture" winner with a title consisting of more than 7 words, "The Lord of The Rings: The Return of the King".
THE OSCAR® WILL GO TO A
MOVIE THAT LASTS AROUND 138 MIN
We are considering the 4 movies closer to the average. The average length takes into account the longest and the shortest winner movies.
  • AND THE WINNER IS
    THE MOVIE THAT MATCHES MOST OF THE REQUIREMENTS
    • 4/5 la la land
    • 4/5 Hacksaw Ridge
    • 3/5 Fences
    • 3/5 Manchester by the Sea
    • 2/5 Arrival
    • 2/5 Lion
    • 2/5 Moonlight
    • 2/5 Hell or High Water
    • 1/5 Hidden Figures
Since "La La Land" comprises both drama and romance gernres which increse the chances to win the Oscars, it gets extra points and beats "Hacksaw Ridge".
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